Before Kyle Hendricks takes the mound for the second game of the Crosstown Series with White Sox on May 4th, I wanted to dig into his early season results. Through five starts this season, Kyle Hendricks hasn’t pitched like a frontline starter at the top of the Cubs’ rotation. It’s been a few seasons sinceContinueContinue reading “Kyle Hendricks’ Hard-hit Start to 2022”
Category Archives: Advanced Statistics
Rethink the Win: Measuring a Pitcher’s Impact Using Win Probability Added
For more than a decade, the value of the pitcher win statistic has been debated between the analytic and traditional schools of thought. There is perhaps no stronger proponent of eliminating the win statistic than Brian Kenny. In 2016, the MLB Network Analyst and host of “MLB Now” wrote a book titled Ahead of the Curve:ContinueContinue reading “Rethink the Win: Measuring a Pitcher’s Impact Using Win Probability Added”
wOBA and xwOBA: Actual vs. Expected Outcomes
Now that we’ve had an introduction to weighted on-base average (wOBA), I want to expand on another statistic we can use to contextualize hitting performance: xwOBA, or expected weighted on-base average. If you haven’t read the wOBA article yet, start there first. xwOBA is calculated using two physics metrics on batted balls: exit velocity andContinueContinue reading “wOBA and xwOBA: Actual vs. Expected Outcomes”
The Case to Replace Batting Average
Batting average. It’s a stat most of us learned early on in our baseball fandom as we scoured the backs of baseball cards to know who the best hitters were. It’s the first stat in the traditional “slash line” of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage (AVG/OBP/SLG). A .300 batting average is the unofficialContinueContinue reading “The Case to Replace Batting Average”
The 368 Project 